March 4, 2024

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Weather News & Forecast

WINTER WEATHER UPDATE…ISSUED JAN 17, 2024…11:25 A.M. EST

4 min read

Disclaimer:  This is not affiliated with the National Hurricane Center, Hurricane Hunters, Storm Prediction Center, or National Weather Service.  ALL forecasts herein are the result of my analysis, (to which you will see me at times, insert excerpts from various agencies due to the nature of the importance of the information) and I am solely responsible for the content.  As ALWAYS, follow the National Hurricane Center, National Weather Service, and your local Emergency Management officials for emergency decisions.  In addition, this is strictly a FORECAST OFFICE.  I CANNOT make decisions regarding travel plans, etc.  My purpose, is to provide you the information, based solely on information I analyze, and the accuracy of the information at hand of the time of analysis, so you may make informed decisions.
(T. F. “Storm” Walsh)

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I will reiterate, my forecasts are based on the available information at the time of analysis, and are only as accurate as the information analyzed and the solutions provided.

Good day everyone!

An area of low pressure is still forecast to begin to develop over the Gulf coast region, then continue to work its way ENE, eventually becoming positioned off the DELMARVA / New England regions.  This system is slated to aid in bringing more snowfall to the Great Lakes and New England areas over the next 5 days, along with windy conditions over the area, with higher winds and gusts to the offshore Atlantic region.  High seas will be experienced offshore of the Mid Atlantic and New England areas.

Based on the latest run of the ECMWF and GFS global models, it appears this system will reinforce the extremely cold to frigid temperatures, which will cover the majority of the U.S. during the next 5 days.
ECMWF AND GFS MSLP ANOMALY FORECAST
ecmwf-deterministic-conus-mslp_norm_anom-1705471200-1705622400-1705752000-40
gfs-deterministic-conus-mslp_norm_anom-1705471200-1705622400-1705752000-40
ECMWF SURFACE WIND AND GUSTS FORECAST
ecmwf-deterministic-east-wnd10m_stream_mph-1705471200-1705622400-1705752000-40
ecmwf-deterministic-east-gust_mph-1705471200-1705622400-1705752000-40
ECMWF PRECIPITATION AND SNOW FORECAST 36 HOUR
ecmwf-deterministic-east-total_precip_inch-1705471200-1705622400-1705752000-40
ecmwf-deterministic-neng-total_snow_kuchera-1705471200-1705622400-1705752000-40
ECMWF 5 DAY SNOWFALL TOTALS
ecmwf-deterministic-east-total_snow_kuchera-1705449600-1705460400-1705881600-40
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET 5 DAY TOTALS
ecmwf-deterministic-east-frzr_total-5881600
ecmwf-deterministic-east-sleet_total-5881600
ECMWF WAVE HEIGHTS AND DIRECTION
ecmwf-wave-east-sig_height_wave_dir-1705449600-1705622400-1705924800-40
ECMWF SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANIMATION
ecmwf-deterministic-east-t2m_f-1705449600-1705449600-1705924800-40
The following NWS Watch / Warning map will provide local NWS information for your area.  Click the image, then once it refreshes, click on your area of interest to view any special weather statements, hazards or advisories for your area.

NWS WATCH / WARNING DISPLAY (LINKED…CLICK MAP, THEN YOUR AREA)

NWS DOPPLER RADAR LOOP (LINKED, CLICK RADAR MAP)
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RAP RADAR (CLICK IMAGE THEN GO TO LOOP DURATION AND PICK LENGTH OF LOOP, THEN CLICK RADAR SITE)
CARIBBEAN RADAR (CLICK IMAGE TO ACCESS ANIMATION)radar_comp_Eng
You may direct any questions by contacting me personally, ANYTIME, at: twalsh22000@yahoo.com

Have a blessed day.

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST /SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS

About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc.

I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.



palmharborforecastcenter

2024-01-17 16:18:47

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