February 26, 2021

Weather News – Road Conditions – weather forecast

WINTER WEATHER UPDATE…ISSUED FEB. 19, 2021…5:45 P.M. EST

4 min read

Disclaimer:  This site is not affiliated with the National Hurricane Center, Hurricane Hunters, Storm Prediction Center, or National Weather Service.  ALL forecasts herein are the result of my analysis, and I am solely responsible for the content.  As ALWAYS, follow the National Hurricane Center, National Weather Service, and your local Emergency Management officials for emergency decisions.  In addition, this is strictly a FORECAST OFFICE.  I CANNOT make decisions regarding travel plans, etc.  My purpose, is to provide you the information, based solely on information I analyze, and the accuracy of the information at hand of the time of analysis, so you may make informed decisions.
(T. F. “Storm” Walsh)

For those who have donated to my site, your help has been greatly appreciated.  If you are not aware, donations to my site help pay for subscriptions to sites I use, which provide all the models and information used in my forecasts.  Without these sites, I’m pretty much left in the dark.  The F5 Data maps I post as well for severe weather, is another out of pocket expense (monthly subscription).  Updates to software (weather related), are also out of pocket to me. Please keep in mind, even when the hurricane season ends, I have to keep up on these site subscriptions for severe weather and winter weather. To donate, please click the DONATE button to the right side of the page.  Any help you provide is immensely appreciated!  Without your help, I may not be able to continue paying the monthly subscription charges for access to all of the information I use in my forecasts.
DONATIONS NEEDED AND APPRECIATED


Greetings to everyone!
Please be aware, even though I do not post every night, rest assured I am continuously monitoring various areas for any significant weather.  I will be taking Sundays off (family time), unless we have active systems that may be posing a threat (i.e. Tropical, Winter Weather, Coastal Storms, etc.).

Sorry I haven’t been around.  My car was in the shop for the past 2 weeks, so wound up having to pick up the wife after work each night.  This only left me about 45 min. to 1 hour for forecast time.  Analysis and preparation of the forecast text usually takes a minimum of 2 hours, sometimes more.

This synopsis goes out to Wed., at 120 hours in the forecast period, with the exception of the temperature forecast, which goes to 144 hours.

The area of low pressure currently situated offshore of the NE and New England areas, will deepen and continue to move off to the NE during the next 48 hours, and should take the associated precipitation which has been affecting most of the country with it.  As this occurs, high pressure will build over the TN / OH Valley regions, and push eastward.  By Sunday evening, a trof of low pressure moves in from the west, and begins to develop over Iowa, and by Monday, the center of the trof is located over the Great Lakes.  This will allow for another round of snow and winter precipitation to occur over the northern tier of states over the Great Lakes, southward into the Ohio Valley region.  Very cold air will remain in place over the areas that have been affected by the bitter Arctic air for the past 72 hours, with colder air pushing into Florida over the weekend.  Late Saturday, into Sunday, it looks like the temperatures begin to slowly moderate, and become warmer over mid portions of the U. S., and south.

I’m hoping the animated graphics in my winter updates, makes up for the short synopses.  IF you have ANY questions regarding the graphics, please feel free to contact me  I will be utilizing the GFS forecast only in this evenings update.  Please note, snowfall totals are in addition to snow already accumulated.
GFS MSLP NORMALIZED ANOMALY FORECAST

GFS 6 HOURLY SNOWFALL FORECAST

GFS KUCHERA TOTAL SNOWFALL FORECAST

GFS TOTAL PRECIPITATION BY TYPE

GFS SURFACE TEMPERATURE


GFS SURFACE WIND FORECAST

ECMWF WAVE HEIGHT AND DIRECTION FORECAST

The following NWS Watch / Warning map will provide local NWS information for your area.  Click the image, then once it refreshes, click on your area of interest to view any special weather statements, hazards or advisories for your area.
NWS WATCH / WARNING DISPLAY (LINKED)

Use the following link to see your area forecast.  Once on the site, type in your zip code in the green box:
https://www.weather.gov/iwx/fallfrostinfo

WSI DOPPLER RADAR LOOP (LINKED)

You may direct any questions by contacting me personally, ANYTIME, at: twalsh22000@yahoo.com

Have a blessed evening!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST /SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS

 

About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc.

I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.

palmharborforecastcenter

2021-02-19 22:46:40

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