February 26, 2021

Weather News – Road Conditions – weather forecast

WINTER WEATHER UPDATE…ISSUED FEB. 11, 2021…7:10 P.M. EST

4 min read

Disclaimer:  This site is not affiliated with the National Hurricane Center, Hurricane Hunters, Storm Prediction Center, or National Weather Service.  ALL forecasts herein are the result of my analysis, and I am solely responsible for the content.  As ALWAYS, follow the National Hurricane Center, National Weather Service, and your local Emergency Management officials for emergency decisions.  In addition, this is strictly a FORECAST OFFICE.  I CANNOT make decisions regarding travel plans, etc.  My purpose, is to provide you the information, based solely on information I analyze, and the accuracy of the information at hand of the time of analysis, so you may make informed decisions.
(T. F. “Storm” Walsh)

For those who have donated to my site, your help has been greatly appreciated.  If you are not aware, donations to my site help pay for subscriptions to sites I use, which provide all the models and information used in my forecasts.  Without these sites, I’m pretty much left in the dark.  The F5 Data maps I post as well for severe weather, is another out of pocket expense (monthly subscription).  Updates to software (weather related), are also out of pocket to me. Please keep in mind, even when the hurricane season ends, I have to keep up on these site subscriptions for severe weather and winter weather. To donate, please click the DONATE button to the right side of the page.  Any help you provide is immensely appreciated!  Without your help, I may not be able to continue paying the monthly subscription charges for access to all of the information I use in my forecasts.
DONATIONS NEEDED AND APPRECIATED


Greetings to everyone!
Please be aware, even though I do not post every night, rest assured I am continuously monitoring various areas for any significant weather.  I will be taking Sundays off (family time), unless we have active systems that may be posing a threat (i.e. Tropical, Winter Weather, Coastal Storms, etc.).

This is another short synopsis and is based on analysis of global models this evening, and covers the forecast period for the next 96 – 120 hours.  I wish I could go into more detail, however as previously stated, I am trying not to burn out before the upcoming hurricane season begins.  When hurricane season does begin, those of you that have followed me over the years, know I go into extra detail in my hurricane forecasts and issuance, sometimes not retiring for the evening until almost midnight.  I’m hoping the animated graphics in my winter updates, makes up for the short wording.  I will be utilizing the GFS forecast only in this evenings update.

Based on analysis this evening, high pressure will continue to dominate the majority of the country during the next 96 hours, with an area of very weak low pressure forming east of VA. and NC.  During this period, an area of lower pressure anomalies will reside over the GOMEX, and eventually move off toward the NE, then exiting offshore IVO the DELMARVA area.  During the next 72 hour period, snowfall and wintry precipitation will continue to affect mainly the Great Lakes and Ohio valley regions.  Shortly thereafter, more snow and wintry precipitation moves in from the central portion of the country, and will affect areas as far south as portions of northern and NE Texas, and stretch NEWD.  As this continues, some extremely cold Arctic air will continue to dive south, and affect a large portion of the southern states, with temperatures going to below freezing, with the exception of milder temperatures over a portion of the extreme southeastern states.  In the graphics, the first snow forecast map shows snowfall for a 24 hour period, allowing you to see where snow and wintry precipitation will be occurring.  The second will be KUCHERA TOTAL snowfall accumulations over the 96 – 120 hour period.  The remaining graphics should be pretty much self explanatory.
GFS MSLP NORMALIZED ANOMALY ANIMATED GIF

GFS 24 HOUR SNOWFALL FORECAST

GFS KUCHERA TOTAL SNOWFALL FORECAST


GFS TOTAL PRECIPITATION BY TYPE

GFS SURFACE TEMPERATURE

GFS SURFACE WIND FORECAST

ECMWF WAVE HEIGHT AND DIRECTION FORECAST

The following NWS Watch / Warning map will provide local NWS information for your area.  Click the image, then once it refreshes, click on your area of interest to view any special weather statements, hazards or advisories for your area.
NWS WATCH / WARNING DISPLAY (LINKED)

Use the following link to see your area forecast.  Once on the site, type in your zip code in the green box:
https://www.weather.gov/iwx/fallfrostinfo

WSI DOPPLER RADAR LOOP (LINKED)

You may direct any questions by contacting me personally, ANYTIME, at: twalsh22000@yahoo.com

Have a blessed evening!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST /SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS

About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc.

I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.

palmharborforecastcenter

2021-02-12 00:09:41

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