Disclaimer: This site is not affiliated with the National Hurricane Center, Hurricane Hunters, Storm Prediction Center, or National Weather Service. ALL forecasts herein are the result of my analysis, and I am solely responsible for the content. As ALWAYS, follow the National Hurricane Center, National Weather Service, and your local Emergency Management officials for emergency decisions. In addition, this is strictly a FORECAST OFFICE. I CANNOT make decisions regarding travel plans, etc. My purpose, is to provide you the information, based solely on information I analyze, and the accuracy of the information at hand of the time of analysis, so you may make informed decisions.
(T. F. “Storm” Walsh)
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Greetings to everyone!
Please be aware, even though I do not post every night, rest assured I am continuously monitoring various areas for any significant weather. I will be taking Sundays off (family time), unless we have active systems that may be posing a threat (i.e. Tropical, Winter Weather, Coastal Storms, etc.).
This is another short synopsis and is based on analysis of global models this evening, and covers the forecast period for the next 96 – 120 hours. I wish I could go into more detail, however as previously stated, I am trying not to burn out before the upcoming hurricane season begins. When hurricane season does begin, those of you that have followed me over the years, know I go into extra detail in my hurricane forecasts and issuance, sometimes not retiring for the evening until almost midnight. I’m hoping the animated graphics in my winter updates, makes up for the short wording. I will be utilizing the GFS forecast only in this evenings update.
Based on analysis this evening, high pressure will continue to dominate the majority of the country during the next 96 hours, with an area of very weak low pressure forming east of VA. and NC. During this period, an area of lower pressure anomalies will reside over the GOMEX, and eventually move off toward the NE, then exiting offshore IVO the DELMARVA area. During the next 72 hour period, snowfall and wintry precipitation will continue to affect mainly the Great Lakes and Ohio valley regions. Shortly thereafter, more snow and wintry precipitation moves in from the central portion of the country, and will affect areas as far south as portions of northern and NE Texas, and stretch NEWD. As this continues, some extremely cold Arctic air will continue to dive south, and affect a large portion of the southern states, with temperatures going to below freezing, with the exception of milder temperatures over a portion of the extreme southeastern states. In the graphics, the first snow forecast map shows snowfall for a 24 hour period, allowing you to see where snow and wintry precipitation will be occurring. The second will be KUCHERA TOTAL snowfall accumulations over the 96 – 120 hour period. The remaining graphics should be pretty much self explanatory.
GFS MSLP NORMALIZED ANOMALY ANIMATED GIF
GFS 24 HOUR SNOWFALL FORECAST
GFS KUCHERA TOTAL SNOWFALL FORECAST
GFS TOTAL PRECIPITATION BY TYPE
GFS SURFACE TEMPERATURE
GFS SURFACE WIND FORECAST
ECMWF WAVE HEIGHT AND DIRECTION FORECAST
The following NWS Watch / Warning map will provide local NWS information for your area. Click the image, then once it refreshes, click on your area of interest to view any special weather statements, hazards or advisories for your area.
NWS WATCH / WARNING DISPLAY (LINKED)
Use the following link to see your area forecast. Once on the site, type in your zip code in the green box:
WSI DOPPLER RADAR LOOP (LINKED)
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Have a blessed evening!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST /SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS
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