February 25, 2021

Weather News – Road Conditions – weather forecast

WINTER WEATHER UPDATE / COASTAL STORM FORECAST…ISSUED JAN. 27, 2021…7:45 P.M. EST

4 min read


Disclaimer:  This site is not affiliated with the National Hurricane Center, Hurricane Hunters, Storm Prediction Center, or National Weather Service.  ALL forecasts herein are the result of my analysis, and I am solely responsible for the content.  As ALWAYS, follow the National Hurricane Center, National Weather Service, and your local Emergency Management officials for emergency decisions.  In addition, this is strictly a FORECAST OFFICE.  I CANNOT make decisions regarding travel plans, etc.  My purpose, is to provide you the information, based solely on information I analyze, and the accuracy of the information at hand of the time of analysis, so you may make informed decisions.
(T. F. “Storm” Walsh)

For those who have donated to my site, your help has been greatly appreciated.  If you are not aware, donations to my site help pay for subscriptions to sites I use, which provide all the models and information used in my forecasts.  Without these sites, I’m pretty much left in the dark.  The F5 Data maps I post as well for severe weather, is another out of pocket expense (monthly subscription).  Updates to software (weather related), are also out of pocket to me. Please keep in mind, even when the hurricane season ends, I have to keep up on these site subscriptions for severe weather and winter weather. To donate, please click the DONATE button to the right side of the page.  Any help you provide is immensely appreciated!  Without your help, I may not be able to continue paying the monthly subscription charges for access to all of the information I use in my forecasts.
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Greetings to everyone!
Please be aware, even though I do not post every night, rest assured I am continuously monitoring various areas for any significant weather.  I will be taking Sundays off (family time), unless we have active systems that may be posing a threat (i.e. Tropical, Winter Weather, Coastal Storms, etc.).

I am going to make this synopsis short, as I work early shift tomorrow.

First, the area of developing low pressure over the SC/GA area will be closing off.  As this low emerges over the Atlantic, it will continue to move off to the ENE.  As this occurs, this system will bomb out as it continues ENE well out to sea, before turning on more of a NE course.  This will produce extremely high winds and dangerous seas in it’s path, and should only be a concern to commercial shipping and fishing vessels.  Vessels that may be affected should take evasive action.
GFS MSLP NORMALIZED ANOMALY FORECAST

ECMWF SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AND DIRECTION

The next low pressure system is forecast to begin over the central portion of the U.S. early Saturday, and move in a general easterly direction, affecting the upper midwest states sometime on Sunday.  Snow fall will continue to affect areas from Virginia, north and west of that area from now, through the period of Feb. 03., within the 5 –  7 day forecast period.  I believe I stopped the GIF animations the morning of the day 7 period.  Currently, it appears the heaviest snowfall amounts will occur over portions of VA., W. VA, and the northern / northeastern tier of states including the Great Lakes region.  As this low approaches the east coast, the low will redevelop along the east coast, and become a coastal storm, and eventually move off toward the NE.  Again, dangerous seas and high winds will be on order.  Given the onshore flow (wave direction) that will be associated with the system, some beach erosion and coastal flooding could occur.
GFS KUCHERA SNOWFALL TOTALS

GFS MSLP NORMALIZED ANOMALY FORECAST (EAST U.S.)

ECMWF SIGNIFICANT WAVE

GFS SURFACE WIND FORECAST

Beginning tomorrow, with the passage of these systems, temperatures will once again turn extremely cold over most of the nation, with colder temperatures once again pushing south into the Florida Peninsula.  More Arctic air will nose down into some of the extreme northern tier of states during the forecast out to day 7.
GFS TEMPERATURE FORECAST

The following NWS Watch / Warning map will provide local NWS information for your area.  Click the image, then once it refreshes, click on your area of interest.
NWS WATCH / WARNING DISPLAY (LINKED)

Use the following link to see your area forecast.  Once on the site, type in your zip code in the green box:
https://www.weather.gov/iwx/fallfrostinfo

WSI DOPPLER RADAR LOOP (LINKED)

I am going to try and post another hurricane tutorial sometime this weekend.

You may direct any questions by contacting me personally, ANYTIME, at: twalsh22000@yahoo.com

Have a blessed evening!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST /SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS

About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc.

I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.



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