February 20, 2024

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Winter weather: DMV snow forecast next week

2 min read

Highs will be in the 30s Monday and Tuesday with a chance for rain and snow.

WASHINGTON — Our next brush with winter weather comes between Monday and Tuesday with a chance for rain and snow, or potentially all snow Tuesday.   

What we know right now

A stray rain or snow shower is possible Monday, but the bigger chance for snow or rain and snow is Tuesday.  Highs will be in the 30s on both days, so colder air will be in place. 

If you are a fan of snow, root for the European model (EMCWF), as it is showing colder air and track more conducive for all snow in the DMV.  The Euro model is showing all snow from Tuesday morning through early Wednesday morning. In this scenario measurable snow could accumulate across the DMV.  The Euro puts most of DC Metro in the  three to six inches of snow range.  

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The American model (GFS) also gives us a chance for snow Tuesday, but with some rain mixing in.   Under this model scenario we would  have to deal with the infamous rain/snow line.  Temperatures are still cold under the GFS, but not as cold as the Euro.   The GFS gives most of the immediate DC Metro around one to three inches, with higher amounts north and west. 

The GFS model, drops a few stray flurries in area on Monday, but doesn’t start the main event until late Monday night around midnight. 

Rain and snow will fall through the day Tuesday with the GFS model and then gradually transition to all snow Tuesday evening and night.   The GFS favors a mostly snow scenario north and west of D.C.  

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The forecast will change, as we are several days away.   Please check back for updates.  While it’s not definitive how much snow we will get, it’s safe to say plan on at least a few flakes.  

2024-01-11 17:36:07

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