We are monitoring the potential for accumulating snow next Tuesday for parts of the DMV.
WASHINGTON — While a storm will slide south of the DMV on Friday, there are signs that another system will threaten the region Tuesday, with the potential for rain and snow across the DMV.
As of Thursday morning, many models are indicating that we will have a storm come from the south into the mid-Atlantic. But, will we have the right ingredients for us to get snow? It’s just too early to know for sure.
Let’s go over a couple of models.
The GFS, the American taxpayer-funded model, has us mostly as rain with perhaps a little snow in the mountains or a mix to rain north of D.C. This would primarily happen Tuesday.
The European model, which is privately funded, shows some snow for D.C. and areas north and west. But that changes over in the afternoon to a mix and then rain with mostly plain rain for areas east of I-95.
If this pans out, there will be travel disruptions Tuesday. This also is a little faster than the GFS, with precipitation starting late Monday night.
As for snow totals, as you’d expect, there is quite a difference between models. The GFS has almost nothing for the majority of the DMV, while the European has a 3″+ swath for many areas just 10 to 20 miles northwest of D.C. and some 6″+ totals in the mountains.
Thursday morning’s models show consistency from the GFS but another flip flop from the European model. Now the Euro has no snow in the Metro Area.
Bottom line, a storm around the DMV next Monday evening and Tuesday looks possible, but not likely. We’ll have to wait a little longer before the details become clear.