RADAR CHECK: A large mass of rain is moving northward through the western half of Alabama early this morning, otherwise it is a cloudy, humid morning with temperatures in the 65-70 degree range. A very moist, tropical airmass continues to cover the Deep South today, and we expect occasional showers and thunderstorms with a high between 77 and 82 degrees. Stronger storms this afternoon could produce some hail and gusty winds; SPC maintains a “marginal risk” (level 1/5) of severe thunderstorms for the southern 2/3 of the state for this potential.
The unsettled pattern continues tomorrow and Thursday. Look for numerous showers and thunderstorms both days. There will be breaks in the rain, and the sun could pop out at times, but this will be a wet two day period. The potential for hail and gusty winds will persist with heavier thunderstorms… SPC has areas from Birmingham north and west in a “marginal risk” tomorrow, and basically all of the state in a “marginal risk” Thursday. There will be some shear involved Thursday, so the chance of a tornado is not zero, but still very low.
On the positive side, more beneficial rain is likely with additional amounts of 1-3 inches likely statewide. The rain will end at some point Thursday night.
FRIDAY AND THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND: A slot of dry air works into the state Friday; the sky becomes partly to mostly sunny with a high in the mid to upper 70s, almost ten degrees below average for late May. The only risk of a shower Friday will be over the Tennessee Valley of far North Alabama, and even there most places will be dry.
The three day weekend looks excellent, with mostly sunny warm days and fair pleasant highs. Highs will be in the 80s Saturday and Sunday, and close to 90 Monday. Lows will be in the 60s, but cooler spots will dip into the 50s early Saturday morning.
REST OF NEXT WEEK: An upper ridge will build across the Gulf Coast region, meaning mostly hot and dry weather with highs in the low 90s. However, a few spotty showers could show up late in the week… See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.
ON THIS DATE IN 1973: An F4 tornado tore through the small town of Union City, Oklahoma, killing two and injuring four others. This tornado was the first storm to be studied in detail by the National Severe Storms Laboratory Doppler Radar Unit at Norman, OK and an armada of researchers in the field. Research of the radar data from the storm would lead to the discovery of a “TVS,” or Tornado Vortex Signature. The presence of a TVS on Doppler radar data is a very strong indication of tornadic potential in a severe thunderstorm
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