STILL DRY: An upper ridge will continue to keep opportunities for rain west and north of Alabama today and over the weekend… we expect partly sunny warm days and fair pleasant nights through Sunday. Highs in the 80-85 degree range, with lows mostly in the 60s.
NEXT WEEK: The coldest air so far this season will roll in Alabama. The front will slowly move through the state Monday, setting up a big temperature contrast. By mid to late afternoon, the Tennessee Valley will likely be in the upper 40s, with mid 80s over the southern counties south of the front. A few widely scattered showers or patches of light rain are possible as the front slides southward, but amounts will be very light and spotty.
The weather will be dry Tuesday through Friday with very cool days and cold nights. Highs will be in the 50s over the northern half of the state Tuesday and Wednesday, with 60s to the south. Many North Alabama communities will likely see their first freeze of the season by Wednesday and Thursday morning, with lows in the 28-34 degree range. A warming trend begins Thursday afternoon. See the video briefing for maps, graphics, and more details.
FOOTBALL WEATHER: The sky will be clear for the high school games across Alabama tonight with temperatures falling from the mid 70s at kickoff into the upper 60s by the quarter.
For tomorrow’s Magic City Classic in Birmingham (Alabama State vs Alabama A&M, 2:30p CT kickoff at Legion Field)… the sky will be partly to mostly sunny with temperatures in the low to mid 80s. It will be a warm October afternoon.
Auburn hosts Mississippi State (2:30p CT kickoff) at Jordan Hare Stadium… dry and warm weather is the story with temperatures in the 81-84 degree for most of the game. The sky will be partly to mostly sunny.
TROPICS: A strong extratropical cyclone (formerly Tammy) associated with an occluded front is located a few hundred miles east of Bermuda. This system is forecast to become separated from the front later today, and environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive over the northwestern Atlantic to the east of Bermuda through tomorrow. Regardless of tropical redevelopment, the system is likely to bring gusty winds and heavy rainfall to Bermuda during the next couple of days. Interests on Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system.
And, a broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next few days. Environmental conditions could support some slow development of this system early next week while it moves generally northward over western or central portions of the basin. NHC gives this feature a 30 percent chance of development over the next seven days.
ON THIS DATE IN 1940: A late season heat wave was underway across the Deep South thanks to a strong upper high. Birmingham’s high was 88 degrees, which still stands as the daily record high for October 27.
ON THIS DATE IN 2006: An F1 tornado (waterspout) came ashore and caused significant damage on the west side of Apalachicola Florida.
No afternoon video briefing today; I will be live on ABC 33/40 at Chelsea High School for the Friday Night Rivals game of the week (Hewitt-Trussville at Chelsea). I will post fresh forecast notes by 3:00… enjoy the day!
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