RADAR CHECK: We have some scattered light rain mainly over South Alabama early this morning, otherwise the sky is cloudy with temperatures in the 55-65 degree range just before sunrise. A few periods of rain are possible through tonight across the state, but it won’t rain all day, and the rain won’t be especially heavy. The weather stays very mild with highs in the 65-72 degree range this afternoon.
THE WEEKEND: Wet weather is likely tomorrow morning, followed by a midday break in the rain. Then, as a cold front pushes into the state, a line of showers and thunderstorms is expected to progress eastward. SPC has defined a “slight risk” (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms in the broad zone from Birmingham and Gadsden south to Mobile and Andalusia. A “marginal risk” (level 1/5) covers the rest of the state.
This is basically a conditional severe weather threat; severe storms are possible if there is the air can recover from the morning batch of rain, and surface based instability becomes available. The main threat will come from strong winds, although a brief, isolated tornado or two is possible. The line of storms will move into West Alabama around noon, and should be out of the state by 7:00 p.m. It will be another mild day with highs in the upper 60s and low 70s.
Additional rain amounts will be in the 1-2 inch range across Alabama through tomorrow evening, and a flood watch remains in effect for many counties.
Sunday will be mostly cloudy and much cooler… temperatures will hold in the 40s over the northern third of the state with some patchy light rain possible. South Alabama should see some sun by afternoon with a high in the 50s.
NEXT WEEK: At this point most of the week looks dry, although global models suggest some scattered light rain could be possible Tuesday night and Wednesday as an upper trough passes through. Highs will be in the 50s and 60s, with lows mostly in the 30s. See the video briefing for maps, graphics, and more details.
ON THIS DATE IN 1772: Possibly the greatest snowfall ever recorded in the Washington DC area started on this day. When the storm began, Thomas Jefferson was returning home from his honeymoon with his new bride, Martha Wayles Skelton. The newlyweds made it to within eight miles of Monticello before having to abandon their carriage in the deep snow. Both finished the ride on horseback in the blinding snow. The newlyweds arrived home late on the night of January 26th. In Jefferson’s “Garden Book,” he wrote, “the deepest snow we have ever seen. In Albermarle, it was about 3. F. deep.”
ON THIS DATE IN 1940: Alabama and the Deep South were in the deep freeze, and much of our state was snow covered. The low on January 26, 1940 in Birmingham was 1 degree.
Look for the next video briefing here by 3:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!
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