Colder through the weekend with a chance of a Nor’easter Sunday night into Tuesday morning that could bring our area a significant snowfall, and possibly even very significant…
Today and tomorrow will be variably cloudy with a chance of a flurry. It will be windy tomorrow, with gusts of up to 40 mph possible. Highs will range from the low 20’s in Northeastern PA to the low 30’s along the NJ Coast, in NYC, and on Long Island today and from the low teens in Northeastern PA to the low 20’s in Central NJ and on Long Island tomorrow.
Saturday will be mostly sunny and cold, with highs from the low 20’s in Northeastern PA to the upper 20’s in Central NJ.
Sunday, clouds will increase with a chance of snow developing at night as a strong disturbance approaches from the west. Lows Sunday morning will drop as low as the single digits in Northeastern PA. Highs will be in the mid 20’s to low 30’s.
Monday, there will be a chance of snow, with some rain possible in Central NJ and on Long Island as the approaching disturbance develops into a Nor’easter. It will become windy in the afternoon, with gusts of up to 45 mph possible. Significant snowfall accumulation will be possible as the disturbance will likely develop into a Nor’easter along the Middle Atlantic Coast. Highs will be in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s.
Tuesday the snow will end in the morning, with some rain possible on Eastern Long Island, as the disturbance departs our area. Significant snowfall accumulations will be possible. Highs will be in the 30’s.
Below is the latest snow map from the European model Ensemble mean (the European model run 50 different ways for various conditions) for this weekend through Tuesday. It clearly shows the track of the disturbance as it approaches our area from the west, then develops into a Nor’easter along the Middle Atlantic Coast Monday and then tracks northeastward, pulling moisture from the ocean. Image courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the image to enlarge.
And below is the prior run of the European model ensemble mean (the European model run 50 different ways for various conditions) for comparison purposes. What you want to look for with this comparison is any changes in potential track or intensity, which you can see very little, meaning confidence continues to increase as we get closer in time to this potential storm. Image courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the image to enlarge
Wednesday and next Thursday, February 4th, are then looking mostly sunny with highs in the 30’s Wednesday and the mid 30’s to low 40’s next Thursday.
Next Friday, February 5th, will be mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers as a cold front approaches from the west and warm air surges northward into our area in advance of the cold front. Highs will range from the low to mid 40’s in Northeastern PA to the upper 40’s to low 50’s in Central NJ.
Next Saturday, February 6th, there will be a chance of rain showers ending in the morning, followed by clearing, as the cold front passes through our area. Highs will range from the upper 30’s in Northeastern PA to the mid 40’s in Central NJ, NYC, and on Long Island.
Next Sunday, February 7th, through next Wednesday, February 10th, are then looking nice with highs in the mid 30’s to low 40’s.