April 20, 2021

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Thursday, December 17 – Big Canoe Weather

3 min read

Good morning!

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8 days ’till Christmas and my true love gave to me… one white Christmas! 🙂 Yes, I’m still dreaming, but the models are fueling those and the closer we get, the more promising it starts to look. That doesn’t mean its going to happen, so don’t go rushing out to buy milk and bread and don’t go telling everyone I said we’re going to have a white Christmas. 🙂 Not yet anyway. 🙂 

There is a raging snowstorm up in the northeast this morning and some areas have received 3 feet of snow.




This makes me antsy… I need some snow here or I’m going to have to make a road trip. 🙂 I may not have to drive too far though. These are the ensembles from the three main models (that show the individual members). I’m seeing more and more members with snow over Georgia, and not just the Euro, but the other two as well. We’ll watch as we get closer in time to see if more members start showing snow here, but I can t3ell you it has jumped up since yesterday. 

None of these images are a forecast






In this view, you can see a little bump in snow around Christmas. Not much right now



Look at the temperatures that are coming. Keep in mind, these are the ensemble MEAN, some members are warmer, some are colder. 




So this is 7 pm on the 25th, temp anomalies over north Georgia are 20-25 degrees below normal according to the GFS.



And that would look like this for actual temps. Again… 7 pm Christmas day.



Big changes are coming, we just have to figure out exactly how they will impact us here. Both models are bringing thickness levels supportive of snow, and the GFS and Euro take those levels all the way to the Gulf. Right now the GFS is lagging the Euro by about 6 hours or so, but this far out that’s not too bad for timing. 




This is looking like the real thing folks. Lots of support from all models and their ensembles, so I would say that the confidence is increasing for a winter weather event centered on Christmas day. Getting a little excited? 😉 I love tracking winter weather and it looks like we might have a bite… let’s see if we can reel this one it. 🙂

Here in Big Canoe this morning, the higher elevations have dropped below freezing and that means that if there was any liquid runoff from the rain, there could be some patchy ice on the roads. Please be careful if you live above 2500 feet or so.



We’re going to have pretty nice weather right up until Christmas Eve… 🙂 It would be perfect timing for the perfect event…. a conjunction, a winter storm, and Christmas.


Hope everyone has a great Thursday!




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