Disclaimer: This site is not affiliated with the National Hurricane Center, Hurricane Hunters, Storm Prediction Center, or National Weather Service. ALL forecasts herein are the result of my analysis, and I am solely responsible for the content. As ALWAYS, follow the National Hurricane Center, National Weather Service, and your local Emergency Management officials for emergency decisions. In addition, this is strictly a FORECAST OFFICE. I CANNOT make decisions regarding travel plans, etc. My purpose, is to provide you the information, based solely on information I analyze, and the accuracy of the information at hand of the time of analysis, so you may make informed decisions.
(T. F. “Storm” Walsh)
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Greetings to everyone!
Please be aware, even though I do not post every night, rest assured I am continuously monitoring various areas for any significant weather. I will be taking Sundays off (family time), unless we have active systems that may be posing a threat (i.e. Tropical, Winter Weather, Coastal Storms, etc.).
This synopsis is a supplemental update to the Feb. 02 synopsis. To read the Feb. 02 synopsis, go to the right of the page and click archives, then Feb 2021.
Based on my analysis of forecast models GFS and ECMWF, the low currently over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley region bringing winter precipitation is following the previous forecast and slowly moving off to the N and NNE. Based on the current forecast, this system should begin to clear out over the next 24 hours. In the meantime, surface pressure anomalies begin to fall over the GOMEX by Saturday evening. As this area moves off to the NNE – NE, an area of low pressure (closed low) begins to develop off the SEUS coast very early Sunday morning. This storm will again aid in bringing snowfall and winter precipitation to areas of the north and DELMARVA areas during the forecast period. Snowfall amounts in the maps are in addition to what has already been received. Again, as with the previous systems, as these storms develop and exit affected areas, surface winds will once again increase, some winds to tropical storm or gale force over areas of the Atlantic, with strong winds again affecting the Great Lakes, and decrease as the systems clear the areas. Between the combination of these two systems (current storm over the Great Lakes region and forecast system on Sunday), and strong high pressure building in after, another round of bitter, Arctic air will push into the upper mid west and north central states. Stronger Arctic air will lie within the northern 2/3 of the country. IF it appears that any major changes occur in the forecast period (out to Feb. 09, 2021), I will try to have an update sometime during the weekend. It is my intention to issue another in the line of hurricane tutorials this weekend.
The following are animated GIF forecast maps from the GFS and ECMWF global models:
GFS AND ECMWF MSLP NORMALIZED ANOMALY ANIMATED GIF
GFS AND ECMWF SURFACE WIND FORECAST ANIMATED GIF
GFS AND ECMWF KUCHERA SNOWFALL TOTALS ANIMATED GIF
GFS AND ECMWF PRECIPITATION TYPES ANIMATED GIF
GFS AND ECMWF SURFACE TEMPERATURE FORECAST ANIMATED GIF
ECMWF SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AND DIRECTION FORECAST
The following NWS Watch / Warning map will provide local NWS information for your area. Click the image, then once it refreshes, click on your area of interest.
NWS WATCH / WARNING DISPLAY (LINKED)
Use the following link to see your area forecast. Once on the site, type in your zip code in the green box:
WSI DOPPLER RADAR LOOP (LINKED)
You may direct any questions by contacting me personally, ANYTIME, at: firstname.lastname@example.org
Have a blessed evening!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST /SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS