July 16, 2024

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Sunday Weather Briefing Video: Dry Through Midweek

5 min read

Good Sunday morning to all you early risers out there, and if you’re feeling a little more rested today, there’s a good reason. Daylight Saving Time has ended, and we’ve all enjoyed that extra hour as our clocks “fell back” while we were fast asleep. Gone are the days of manually changing each timepiece in our homes—our smart gadgets have smoothly transitioned us into this new rhythm without a hitch. As we wake to a brighter morning sky, it’s a gentle reminder of how technology has simplified our lives, even in the subtle shift of time. Now, let’s see if the weather has been as kind to us, shall we?

FOR YOUR SUNDAY: Overnight lows are mostly in the 40s for most areas across North and Central Alabama, with colder spots dipping into the mid to upper 30s, especially in the northeast. A mid-level disturbance is passing over Alabama today and it is accompanied by some cloudiness, but there is not enough moisture for rain. Expect widespread middle to upper 70s this afternoon. With the surface ride directly over us, we will experience light winds again today.

A STUDY IN PERFECTION: Meanwhile, high pressure is building back toward the Lower Mississippi River Valley, which will lead to mild to warm daytime temperatures in the week ahead. A shift from northwesterly to westerly flow at the 500 mb level will occur, influencing the weather pattern. A warm southwesterly flow will dominate our weather, leasing to rising temperatures.
are expected to reach the upper 70s on Monday, with some areas possibly hitting 80 degrees. As the ridge builds into the region, temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday are forecast to reach the lower 80s, with mid 80s possible in some locations.

LOOKING FOR RAIN: Height falls are expected on Thursday with a shortwave trough moving toward the Mississippi Valley, followed by a warm afternoon ahead of an advancing cold front. The shortwave trough may weaken too much to provide adequate lift for significant rainfall when the cold front moves through on Thursday night and Friday.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK: Saturday will feature sunshine in the morning, with increasing clouds by afternoon, and a chance of rain by late in the day that will continue into Sunday. Not substantial rain, but enough to hold off any spreading of the drought.

Rainfall over the next 16 days according to the GFS

VOODOO COUNTRY: The week two period features a slow moving front that will bring rain chances in the Tuesday-Thursday time frame. We will be watching a potential tropical system in the western Caribbean that will be turning northeast or east ahead of this front but it would not have any affect on Alabama or the northern Gulf Coast.

BEACHCAST: Another spectacular week of weather long the beautiful beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida with lots of sunshine, mild temperatures, still warm water, and low rip current risks through Thursday. Highs all week will be in the 70s, with lows in the 50s. Water temperatures are still in the lower 70s. The next chance of rain along the coast won’t come until Friday of this week.

Click here to see the Beach Forecast Center page.

IN THE TROPICS: In our Sunday morning tropical weather update, we turn our attention to the western Caribbean following Invest 97-L’s landfall in Central America yesterday. Despite its lack of organization and development, the system has delivered copious amounts of rain across Nicaragua, Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize, triggering potential flash flooding and mudslides. We note a quieter scene elsewhere: the Atlantic, Caribbean, and Gulf of Mexico are serene, with no additional tropical development expected in the near future. But I may have jinxed us in the longer range, as the GFS now develops a tropical system in the western Caribbean around Wednesday the 15th and turns it northeast ahead of a cold front, moving it across Cuba, through the Florida Straits, and over the northern Bahamas before exiting it out to the northeast.

NATIONALLY: Over the next couple of days, unsettled weather will be moving across the Pacific Northwest, with high-elevation snow farther inland over the northern Rockies, and light wintry mix into the far northern Plains. Meanwhile, fair weather will prevail across much of the eastern two-thirds of the country as the expansive cold high pressure system associated with the first major outbreak of arctic air this season weakens and temperatures recover to normal levels by this weekend.

DANCING WITH THE STATS: 76F at Cedar City, UT yesterday was a record high for the date. A couple of stations in the Pacific Northwest broke their rainfall records for the date. Nothing else notable.

ADVERTISE WITH US: Deliver your message to a highly engaged audience by advertising on the AlabamaWX.com website. We have a lot of big plans for this year. Don’t miss out! We can customize a creative, flexible, and affordable package that will suit your organization’s needs. Contact me, Bill Murray, at (205) 687-0782 and let’s talk.

WEATHERBRAINS: This week’s show is a November surprise, as our guest scheduled for tomorrow night has flaked out on us. Your faithful Guest Booking Officer, Bill, will be arranging for a substitute Guest WeatherBrain as soon as possible. Hopefully, before tomorrow night’s 7 p.m. air time. Check out the show at www.WeatherBrains.com. You can also subscribe on iTunes. You can watch the show live on our new YouTube channel for the show.You will be able to see the show on the James Spann 24×7 weather channel on cable or directly over the air on the dot 2 feed.

ON THIS DATE IN 1952: Extremely dry weather occurred across Alabama in June and July and again in October and November. On this date, there were 140 small forest fires burning across the state. A thick pall of smoke covered much of Alabama by November 6th. The sun could actually be viewed without protection through the thick pall of smoke. In October 1,044 forest fires burned 40,324 acres of woodlands in Alabama. Hopefully we won’t get to this before we get rain. Follow my weather history tweets on Twitter. I am @wxhistorian at Twitter.com.

Bill Murray

2023-11-05 13:00:38

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