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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook – Storm Prediction Center RSS Feed

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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0244 PM CST Thu Dec 14 2023
Valid 161200Z - 221200Z
Fire weather potential through the extended period remains limited.
Long-range ensemble guidance has been consistent in depicting robust
cyclogenesis along the East Coast this weekend ahead of the upper
trough currently over New Mexico. Strong winds are likely across the
Southeast and Mid-Atlantic regions on the backside of this low, but
an influx of cooler air, coupled with the potential for preceding
precipitation, should modulate fire concerns. Winds will abate
across much of the country by early next week as a surface high
becomes established over the central CONUS. Extended ensembles
continue to hint at the approach of another mid-level wave across
the Four Corners by mid/late next week, which may support a dry
return-flow regime through the southern to central Plains. This may
be favorable for fire weather concerns across this region, but
confidence in the fire threat is limited due to precipitation
chances this weekend (and the associated impact on fuel status) and
considerable spread regarding mesoscale details at this range.
..Moore.. 12/14/2023
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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2023-12-14 20:49:17

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