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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook – Storm Prediction Center RSS Feed

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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0326 PM CST Mon Dec 11 2023
Valid 131200Z - 191200Z
Fire weather potential remains low for the extended period. An
expansive surface high will slowly become established over the
central and eastern CONUS in the wake of the mid-level impulse and
attendant surface front currently progressing across the Canadian
Prairies and northern Plains. This unseasonably strong surface high
will modulate winds for much of the country, resulting in low
probability for winds exceeding critical thresholds. Weak winds,
combined with increasing rain chances from the southern High Plains
to the lower MS River Valley during the mid/late week period, will
yield limited fire weather potential outside of the southern CA
coast.
...Southern California...
An offshore flow regime will likely persist D3/Wednesday into
D4/Thursday along the southern CA coast as an upper disturbance
exits the region to the east. However, medium to long-range guidance
continues to suggest mid to upper-level winds will remain fairly
modest on the back side of the upper trough. Consequently, offshore
winds may be driven primarily by surface pressure gradients, which
remain poorly resolved by most guidance at this range (considerable
spread is noted in deterministic/ensemble solutions). Localized fire
weather concerns remain possible, but confidence in critical
conditions remains too low for highlights.
..Moore.. 12/11/2023
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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2023-12-11 21:30:19

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