February 27, 2024

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Soaking Rains Ahead For Alabama; A Few Strong Storms Along The Way

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RADAR CHECK: Soaking rain is falling across much of North and West Alabama this afternoon… the big rain mass is slowly shifting eastward. A flash flood watch will remain in effect through tomorrow for that part of Alabama north of a line from Mobile to Montgomery to Opelika.

Periods of rain and a few thunderstorms will continue statewide tomorrow into Friday morning. The rain will be heavy at times, and a few strong thunderstorms are possible tomorrow . SPC has now defined a “marginal risk” (level 1/5) of severe thunderstorms tomorrow for basically all of Alabama.

The main threat from the heavier storms tomorrow will come from strong straight line winds. The chance of a tornado is low, but not zero.

Rain will taper off Friday morning, and we expect only spotty showers Friday afternoon and Friday night. Temperatures will remain mild this week with highs in the 60s for most of Alabama; low 70s are possible for the southern third of the state.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Another wave of rain and thunderstorms will move through the state Saturday, and SPC has defined a severe weather risk for about the eastern half of the state.

If the air can become unstable, a few storms Saturday could produce strong winds across Alabama. Remains to be seen if there will be a tornado threat, once we get within the 60 hour window (tomorrow) we will be able to see high resolution, convection allowing model data which will give us a much better look at the situation.

Sunday will be mostly cloudy and cooler with some patchy light rain possible for North Alabama; highs drop into the low to mid 50s.

NEXT WEEK: For now the week looks dry with highs in the 50s and 60s; lows will be in the 30s and 40s… See the video briefing for maps, graphics, and more details.

ON THIS DATE IN 1964: An F4 tornado tore through Harpersville in Shelby County, killing ten people. From the NWS Birmingham storm survey “Two houses along U.S. 280 were completely carried away from their foundations. One was picked up and carried some 500 feet, where it was slammed into another house. Four died in that house (one of the injured died later), and 5 died in another house across Hwy 280 about 300 yards NE of the first house that was destroyed. In the latter house, an electric freezer weighing several hundred pounds was carried some 150 yards before being dropped.”

Look for the next video briefing here by 6:00 a.m. tomorrow…

James Spann

2024-01-24 20:56:44

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