Well, here we go, this one looks legit. A strong disturbance is approaching from the west and will then hit a block as it reaches the Middle-Atlantic Coast, turning into a Nor’easter. This storm will then strengthen near the coast of the Delmarva Peninsula and just off the NJ Coast, pulling moisture off the ocean and throwing it back inland over the Middle Atlantic and Northeastern States. The storm will basically stall from Monday morning through Tuesday, gradually weakening Tuesday. It will become quite windy Monday, with blizzard conditions likely in much of our area, with winds gusting up to 55 mph in some inland locations and up to 65 mph possible along the coast and on Long Island. The snow will be quite heavy Monday, with blizzard conditions possible much of the day, especially in the afternoon and evening. Expect roads to become impassible Monday from southwest to northeast in the morning with blizzard conditions likely except in South Jersey, along the NJ Coast, and on Eastern Long Island, but instead the coastal locations will have to worry about potentially significant coastal flooding. The snow will finally become lighter Tuesday and then end in the afternoon and evening in most locations with very heavy snow amounts likely and detailed below. Unfortunately, the combination of heavy snow and strong winds will likely lead to power outages in some locations as well as stranded vehicles on roadways. Blowing and drifting of the snow could lead to large snowdrifts as well. Please check back early in the morning for the latest and I will likely have to adjust snowfall amounts in some locations.
Tonight, will be mostly clear.
Tomorrow, clouds will increase with snow developing in the afternoon and evening from southwest to northeast, staring around 1 pm near Allentown, PA, around 7 pm in NYC, and around midnight on Eastern Long Island. Highs will be in the mid 20’s to low 30’s.
Monday, there will be snow, heavy at times, becoming lighter at night. It will become windy, with gusts of up to 55 mph possible inland and up to 65 mph near the coast. Highs will be in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s.
Tuesday, there will be light to occasionally moderate snow in the morning, then scattered snow showers and flurries in the afternoon evening. It will be less windy. Highs will range from the upper 20’s to low 30’s in Northeastern PA to the upper 30’s on Eastern Long Island.
Total possible snowfall accumulation:
3-6 inches: Coastal South and Central NJ (south of Monmouth County)
6-12 inches: inland South and Central NJ (further inland in South Jersey, less far inland in Central NJ)
12-15 inches: far inland South Jersey, Eastern Long Island
12-18 inches: far Southeastern PA (around Philadelphia), Western Long Island, Fairfield County, CT, Westchester and Putnam Counties in NY State
15-24 inches: East Central PA, inland Central NJ, Northeastern NJ, NYC, Rockland, and Orange Counties in NY State
20-30 inches: Northeastern PA, Northwestern NJ
Wednesday will be variably cloudy with a chance of a snow shower or flurry. Highs will be in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s.
Thursday will be mostly sunny with highs in the mid to upper 30’s.
Friday there will be a chance of rain or snow as a disturbance passes south of our area. Highs will be in the mid 30’s to mid 40’s.
Next Saturday, February 6th, there will be a chance of rain or snow ending in the morning. Then it will be variably cloudy with highs in the 30’s.
Next Sunday, February 7th, through next Friday, February 12th, are currently looking nice with highs in the 30’s next Sunday, the mid 20’s to mid 30’s next Monday and Tuesday, the low to mid 30’s next Wednesday, the upper 20’s to mid 30’s next Thursday, and the 30’s next Friday.
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