TRENDING WET: Clouds cover most of Alabama early this morning, and we note a few sprinkles on radar over the northern and western counties. Scattered showers are possible through tonight, but the rain becomes more widespread and heavier across the state over the weekend as a surface front drifts southward.
The most widespread rain tomorrow will over the northern third of Alabama, especially along and north of I-20. A decent part of the day for the southern counties will be dry with just scattered showers around. The big rain mass drops southward tomorrow night, and by Sunday most of the rain will be over the southern 2/3 of the state.
A few thunderstorms could be involved late Sunday and Sunday night as as surface low forms west of Alabama; SPC has defined a “marginal risk” (level 1/5) of severe storms for much of the state along and west of I-65. Keep in mind this “Day 3” outlook is valid through 6:00 a.m. Monday.
Then, after 6:00 a.m. Monday in the “Day 4” outlook, SPC has defined a risk of severe thunderstorms for parts of East and Southeast Alabama.
The main threat will come front strong, gusty thunderstorms winds, although a brief, isolated tornado or two can’t be ruled out Sunday night and Monday in the risk areas.
Rain amounts will be in the 2-3 inch range over the northern half of the state tomorrow through Monday, and a few isolated flooding issues could develop as the rain falls.
REST OF NEXT WEEK: Dry air returns to the state late Monday night, and the weather looks dry Tuesday through Friday with highs in the 50s and 60s, and lows in the 30s and low 40s. Global models continue to suggest yet another weekend rain event on Saturday, possibly into early Sunday (February 17-18). See the video briefing for maps, graphics, and more details.
ON THIS DATE IN 1994: A devastating ice storm struck Mississippi, Louisiana, and extreme northwest Alabama. Freezing rain began falling over northern Mississippi during the early morning hours and continued until midday on the 10th. Ice accumulated 3 to 6 inches thick on exposed objects in the affected area. Due to the weight of the ice, power lines, trees, and tree limbs were down. Nearly one million people were without power after the storm, some for a month.
ON THIS DATE IN 2011: A winter storm brought snow to the northern half of Alabama; the Birmingham metro picked up 3-4 inches.
Look for the next video briefing here by 3:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!
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