Heavy snow in a large part of our area late this morning and early this afternoon…
This storm is likely to surprise some people as heavy snow will develop late this morning and early this afternoon from west to east through Eastern PA, Northern NJ, Southeastern NY State, and Fairfield County, CT. The latest ultra-short range American model and the latest short-range American model make you wonder if more of Central NJ, Northeastern NJ, and NYC will get into the action? I am not sure about that at all, but we will have to watch it just in case the latest ultra-short range American model and the latest short-range American model posted below are correct. Highs today will be in the 30’s to low 40’s.
Below is the latest ultra-short range American model snow map, courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the images to enlarge.
But I will stick with my earlier forecast from today and we will see how it works out…
Estimated snow start times:
9-10:30 am: Eastern PA
10:30-11:30 am: Northwestern and West Central NJ
11 am-noon: Northeastern NJ, NYC, Southeastern NY State
Around noon: Fairfield County, CT
Estimated snow end times:
3-4:30 pm: Eastern PA
4:30-5:30 pm: Northwestern NJ and Orange County, NY
5-6:30 pm: Northeastern NJ, NYC, and Southeastern NY State
6:30-7:30 pm: Fairfield County, CT
Total possible snowfall accumulation:
Trace to an inch: Inland East Central NJ and far Western Long Island
Trace to an inch or two: West Central NJ, NYC, coastal Fairfield County, CT
1-3 inches: Southern Hunterdon and Central and Southern Somerset Counties and Northeastern NJ, Westchester and Putnam Counties in NY State and Fairfield County, CT
2-4 inches: Far Western Bergen County, NJ, Orange and Rockland Counties in NY State
2-5 inches: Northeastern PA
3-6 inches: Northwestern NJ (including Northern Hunterdon and far Northern Somerset)
4-8 inches: East Central PA (including Carbon and Monroe Counties)
Tomorrow a weak disturbance will pass to our north, bringing a chance for some light snow or snow showers to East Central and Northeastern PA, Northwestern NJ, and Southeastern NY State with a trace to an inch of accumulation possible, especially in Northeastern PA. Highs will be in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s.
Wednesday and Thursday will be variably cloudy with a chance of a flurry Wednesday night into Thursday morning as a cold front passes through our area. Highs will be in the mid 40’s to low 50’s Wednesday and the mid 30’s to mid 40’s Thursday.
Friday, clouds will increase late in the day as a warm front approaches our area. Highs will be in the mid 30’s to low 40’s.
Saturday will be cloudy with a chance of rain, possibly starting as snow, freezing rain, or sleet, especially in Northeastern PA, as a warm front passes through our area. Highs will be in the upper 30’s and 40’s.
Sunday through next Tuesday, March 2nd, will be mostly cloudy with a chance of a shower each day as a stationary front may develop near our area. Highs will be in the mid 40’s to low 50’s Sunday, the mid 40’s to mid 50’s next Monday, and upper 30’s to mid 40’s next Tuesday.
Next Wednesday, March 3rd, and next Thursday, March 4th, are then looking variably cloudy with highs in the 40’s next Wednesday and the 40’s to low 50’s next Thursday.
Next Friday, March 4th, there will be a chance of rain or snow as a disturbance passes through our area. Highs will be in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s.
Next Saturday, March 5th, there will be a chance of rain or snow ending in the morning, followed by clearing. Highs will be in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s.
Next Sunday, March 6th, is then looking variably cloudy with highs in the mid 40’s to low 50’s.
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