Midday Nowcast: Very Warm, Fall Days

Sunshine and warm temperatures continue to highlight the forecast across Alabama this week. The weather stays dry through Thursday with highs in the mid to upper 80s, and a few spots could touch 90 degrees during the afternoon hours. Nights will remain cool and pleasant, with lows in the 50s and 60s.

HERE COMES FALL: A strong cold front will pass through the state Friday with more clouds and possibly a few sprinkles or patches of light rain. Unfortunately with limited moisture the chance of beneficial rain is very low, and most of Alabama will remain dry. Behind the front, the coolest air so far this season will roll into Alabama just in time for the weekend. Highs will drop into the upper 60s and low 70s, with lows in the 40s early Sunday over the northern half of the state. We expect a good supply of sunshine both Saturday and Sunday. A picture perfect, fall weekend of weather for Alabama.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school games Friday night, just an outside risk of a little light rain. Otherwise mostly cloudy with temperatures falling through the 60s with a fairly stiff north breeze.

Jacksonville State has a Wednesday night special this week… they will be at Middle Tennessee State tomorrow in Murfreesboro (7:00p CT kickoff). The sky will be clear with temperatures falling through the 70s, reaching the 60s by the fourth quarter.

Saturday, Alabama will be in College Station to take on Texas A&M (2:30p CT kickoff). About 73 degrees at kickoff with a mostly sunny sky. It will be a very pleasant afternoon.

UAB will host USF Saturday at Protective Stadium in downtown Birmingham (3:00p CT kickoff). The sky will be sunny with temperatures falling from near 68 at kickoff, into low 60s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: At this point next week looks generally rain-free with a slow warming trend; highs reach the 80s by Thursday or Friday. Still no sign of any major rain event for Alabama for the next ten days. Again, October is statistically our driest month of the year in Alabama, but we sure could use some rain!

IN THE TROPICS: We only have one system in the Atlantic currently…Philippe. Philippe is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph, and this general motion should continue today. A turn toward the north-northwest is forecast by tonight, followed by a northward motion on Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Philippe is expected to move north of the Leeward Islands today. However, the strongest winds and heaviest rains will likely occur in the islands to the south of the center.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or two, but Philippe could begin to strengthen after midweek. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles primarily to the east and southeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).

The rest of the basin is quiet with no tropical development expected the next seven days. The remaining names on list this year are Sean, Tammy, Vince, and Whitney.

BEACH FORECAST CENTER: Get the latest weather and rip current forecasts for the beaches from Fort Morgan to Panama City on our Beach Forecast Center page. There, you can select the forecast of the region that you are interested in visiting.

WORLD TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest observation outside the U.S. was 113.9F at Dohne, South Africa. The lowest observation was -94.9F Concordia, Antarctica.

CONTIGUOUS TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest observation was 101F at Falcon Lake, TX. The lowest observation was 21F at Berthoud Pass, CO.

Ryan Stinnett

2023-10-03 15:30:22

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