Disclaimer: This site is not affiliated with the National Hurricane Center, Hurricane Hunters, Storm Prediction Center, or National Weather Service. ALL forecasts herein are the result of my analysis, and I am solely responsible for the content. As ALWAYS, follow the National Hurricane Center, National Weather Service, and your local Emergency Management officials for emergency decisions. In addition, this is strictly a FORECAST OFFICE. I CANNOT make decisions regarding travel plans, etc. My purpose, is to provide you the information, based solely on information I analyze, and the accuracy of the information at hand of the time of analysis, so you may make informed decisions.
(T. F. “Storm” Walsh)
For those who have donated to my site, your help has been greatly appreciated. If you are not aware, donations to my site help pay for subscriptions to sites I use, which provide all the models and information used in my forecasts. Without these sites, I’m pretty much left in the dark. The F5 Data maps I post as well for severe weather, is another out of pocket expense (monthly subscription). Updates to software (weather related), are also out of pocket to me. Please keep in mind, even when the hurricane season ends, I have to keep up on these site subscriptions for severe weather and winter weather. To donate, please click the DONATE button to the right side of the page. Any help you provide is immensely appreciated! Without your help, I may not be able to continue paying the monthly subscription charges for access to all of the information I use in my forecasts.
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Greetings to everyone!
Please be aware, even though I do not post every night, rest assured I am continuously monitoring various areas for any significant weather. I will be taking Sundays off (family time), unless we have active systems that may be posing a threat (i.e. Tropical, Winter Weather, Coastal Storms, etc.).
Based on analysis of the models today, I don’t see any major system in the near future, at least until the 15th, when a low moving east just north of the Canada border should affect the Great Lakes region with winter weather.
This update will be regarding Hurricane Preparedness. I wanted to make this available well in advance, prior to the start of the 2021 hurricane season. I highly recommend you save this somehow and review preparation and evacuation steps in order to put together a preparation plan prior to June 01. A couple of the documents I posted (Against the Wind, which showed how to effectively board your windows, and re-enforce garage doors), and the FEMA Hurricane Preparedness Guide) are not accessible at this time, as it appears FEMA is updating their site. However, the following links and linked graphics should provide you enough information for preparedness. I noticed some discrepancies in information regarding when Hurricane Watches and Warnings are issued, and in the Saffir-Simpson hurricane wind scale. The correct ones will be posted for you here:
Tropical Storm Watch: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 – 73 mph or greater) are possible within the specified area within 48 hours.
Tropical Storm Warning: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are expected within your area within 36 hours.
Hurricane Watch: Hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are possible within your area. Because it may not be safe to prepare for a hurricane once winds reach tropical storm force, The NHC issues hurricane watches 48 hours before it anticipates tropical storm-force winds.
Hurricane Warning: Hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are expected somewhere within the specified area. NHC issues a hurricane warning 36 hours in advance of tropical storm-force winds to give you time to complete your preparations. All preparations should be complete. Evacuate immediately if so ordered.
|Category||Sustained Winds||Types of Damage Due to Hurricane Winds|
|Very dangerous winds will produce some damage: Well-constructed frame homes could have damage to roof, shingles, vinyl siding and gutters. Large branches of trees will snap and shallowly rooted trees may be toppled. Extensive damage to power lines and poles likely will result in power outages that could last a few to several days.|
|Extremely dangerous winds will cause extensive damage: Well-constructed frame homes could sustain major roof and siding damage. Many shallowly rooted trees will be snapped or uprooted and block numerous roads. Near-total power loss is expected with outages that could last from several days to weeks.|
|Devastating damage will occur: Well-built framed homes may incur major damage or removal of roof decking and gable ends. Many trees will be snapped or uprooted, blocking numerous roads. Electricity and water will be unavailable for several days to weeks after the storm passes.|
|Catastrophic damage will occur: Well-built framed homes can sustain severe damage with loss of most of the roof structure and/or some exterior walls. Most trees will be snapped or uprooted and power poles downed. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last weeks to possibly months. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months.|
|157 mph or higher|
137 kt or higher
252 km/h or higher
|Catastrophic damage will occur: A high percentage of framed homes will be destroyed, with total roof failure and wall collapse. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last for weeks to possibly months. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months.|
The following graphics / guides contain information on hurricane preparedness…PLEASE CLICK to read the guide. As stated prior, some information is not updated in them. In regard to stocking up on food and water, it is recommended that you increase the supply from 3 days to 5 – 7 days. You should stock up on non perishables and have 1 gallon of drinking water per person, per day. In addition, when a hurricane watch is issued for your area, immediately set your refrigerator / freezer to the maximum setting. Avoid opening the doors. IF you need to get something out, do it quickly and close the door right away.
NOAA HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS GUIDE 2011
HURRICANE READYPREPAREDNESS FOR YOUR BOAT
You may direct any questions by contacting me personally, ANYTIME, at: email@example.com
Have a blessed evening!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST /SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST