February 9, 2023

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Hurricane Fiona storm track through warm Atlantic waters

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The Atlantic Basin is getting very active with two more named storms likely later this week.

WASHINGTON — Hurricane season is at its peak and the Atlantic Basin is becoming increasingly active. Here are the storms and areas of interest we are watching now:

Hurricane Fiona:

Fiona remains a major category 3 hurricane with sustained winds of 115 mph.

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Turks and Caicos while Tropical Storm Warnings are issued for parts of the Bahamas. Heavy rainfall could lead to life-threatening flash flooding. Hurricane force winds remain a concern for Turks and Caicos with Tropical Storm force winds are possible in the Bahamas.

RELATED: Montgomery Co. FEMA task force heads to Puerto Rico in response Fiona

The storm is expected to strengthen into a category 4 hurricane as it moves NNW over the next several days.

The exact track Fiona takes still isn’t certain as it approaches Bermuda, but the trend has been for the center of the storm to remain west of the island. 

The farther west, the better because the right side of a hurricane is the strongest and most destructive. Right now the National Hurricane Center has the cone of uncertainty right on the fringe of the island.

The track can, and probably will, continue to shift over the next couple of days. Our spaghetti plot shown below outlines different computer models interpretations of where the storm will track. As you can see, there is a lot of consensus for a track west of Bermuda.

The timing of potential impact is of concern as the storm is forecast to brush by Bermuda overnight into Friday morning. 

The WUSA9 Weather team will be monitoring Fiona very carefully over the next several days.

RELATED: Fiona wallops Turks and Caicos, Puerto Rico still stunned

Tropical Storm Gaston:

The Tropical Storm formed in the 5 p.m. National Hurricane Center Advisory Tuesday. The storm is forecasted to remain a tropical storm as it progresses through the northern Atlantic. This storm is posing no threat to land.

Invest 98:

Of greater concern is Invest 98, a tropical wave still several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands. The storm is forecast to move into very favorable conditions over the next several days. This will likely be named Hermine later this week. 

Some of the long range computer guidance shows this storm moving into the very warm Gulf of Mexico with an eventual U.S. landfall possible later next week.

This forecast will be evolving over the next week or so. Check back for frequent updates!

RELATED: Montgomery Co. FEMA task force heads to Puerto Rico in response Fiona

RELATED: Strengthening Fiona barrels toward Turks and Caicos Islands

2022-09-21 02:40:28

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