Franklin is currently a colorful crapshoot.
If it makes it to the Bahamas…
….and stays together.
It may be a real hurricane.
Some models even hint at major.
But it’s a long way from here to there.
As for Harold.
Surprised it was upgraded.
Looks more like an elongated moisture surge.
A center but nothing has wrapped.
He is so good with his words. True too.
That said it will be tropical downpours to parts of South Texas near the border. It will have some wind, and probably picturesque imagery on TWC and I’ll sit staring at TWC wishing I was there and watching Mike (of Spaghetti Models) who actually went out there to chase and that was wise of him as the way this season is going if you have a chance to chase take it.
That’s what the NHC headlines show.
It’s as if Tropical Storms are on sale in the Bargain Basement this year, and Josh is 100% correct. Well, except for the one that got away and became Dora in the Pacific that last night was still getting advisories written on it and Don in the North Atlantic that went Hurricane. We are at the “i” named storm because the January Winter Storm was upgraded just before the Hurricane Season began or we’d be looking at Harold and most of the storms we have had in the Atlantic would be called wimpy storms by most of my friends in the storm chasing or academic world. Some of these storms in other years would not be named and that is solely based on their naming was soley because a satellite managed to get an image that actually crossed the center of a tropical disturbance showing it had a closed circulation and therefore was upgraded. That’s fair but it doesn’t compare to what many tropical disturbances had to go through to get far enough West to get Hurricane Recon to go out and find the data to upgrade the storm, or for a ship to sail through it and relay the reports to the NHC. It’s easier in 2023 for a weak system to get an upgrade to TS status and for discussion from the NHC to note that they do not expect it to be around long than it was say in 1969.
Here’s the cone for Gert.
Honestly…………. we are approaching September. I ate a chocolate peanut butter cup shaped like a football the other day. I have 2 “fall decorations” waiting to be put up next week. This will be the true test of this Hurricane Season.
I’ll let the people with agendas argue it out as they have been doing.
“This is a hyperactive period in the tropics” vs “El Nino is going to shut down the season early”
I’m not going there.
The dreaded I storm is next up!
As in they usually have an eye!
I will say models consistently now show something coming up into the Gulf of Mexico and approaching some part of Florida, crossing it somewhere and in a way I can say that’s logical as they mostly are showing Tropical Storm intensity vs the Time Traveler Cat 6 Storm that was posted all over social media. Seriously anything goes and gets play these days if it’s crazy enough for people to repost. Had she said “a Cat 6 Hurricane will approach Florida in July” THAT WOULD HAVE BEEN SOME STORY… but September 6th it’s logical for a hurricane somewhere going major in any given year and might be approaching Florida or the Carolinas. Social Media Time Traveler Weather People… welcome to 2023!
Time will tell.
On a personal level I’m feeling better but not going to overdo today and continue doing what I’m doing. A license to chill, watch coverage of TS Harold hitting Texas, do some personal things and take my meds, drink tea and maybe even make dinner tonight. My husband cooked last night as I was told to rest, he made pizza and a salad it was fun. Once upon the time he was a chef, his family was in the hotel/restaurant business I should just let him make Veal Osso Buco or Chicken Picatta but I do like cooking. My son who is a foodie influencer is in Europe covering a Jewish River Cruise which is rich in food and heavy in history or maybe that should be the other way around; he’s there with my old boss the Dean of Touro College doing the history stuff…. so go figure. Here I am in Raleigh hoping to go to the beach down the road and feel the breeze from whichever storm puts Carolina on it’s bucket list and debate when I’m going to Miami next. Life is good. Life is what we make it. Today I’m focused on the tropics and getting past the cold that trigged my asthma when it was 98 degrees yesterday in Raleigh, all is well in my world today. A good day to play and watch Harold do Texas……….
I’ll update as needed today.
Sweet Tropical Dreams….
..or Italian or Alaskan Dreams.
Dream of snow, dream of rain.
Some of us dream of hail.
Or sailing the Caribbean.
I dream of dancing on the beach…
…at Pawley’s Island personally.
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram.
Threads when I remember to go there.
Harold meanwhild is saying.
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