SUNNY, COLD NOVEMBER DAY: Temperatures are in the 48-53 degree range across the northern half of Alabama this afternoon, with mid to upper 50s over the southern counties under a cloudless sky. We note the average high for Birmingham on November 1 is 70. A freeze warning is in effect tonight for all of Alabama, with the exception of areas south of I-10 in Baldwin and Mobile counties. Lows will be in the 24-32 degree range early tomorrow with a clear sky and near calm wind. Mid to upper 30s are likely among the Gulf Coast.
A warming trend begins tomorrow afternoon… with sunshine in full supply the high will be close to 60 over North Alabama, with mid 60s for the southern half of the state.
FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Dry weather continues with mostly sunny days, fair nights, and a warming trend. Highs will be in the 60s and low 70s Friday, followed by low to mid 70s statewide over the weekend. Clouds will increase Sunday night.
NEXT WEEK: New global model guidance this morning certainly doesn’t look encouraging for state that needs rain badly. There might be a day or two with a drop of rain in spots, but meaningful rain at this point seems unlikely. See the video briefing for maps, graphics, and more details.
FOOTBALL WEATHER: Expect a clear sky for the high school games across Alabama Friday night with temperatures falling through the 50s.
Saturday, UAB hosts Florida Atlantic at Protective Stadium in downtown Birmingham (2:00p CT kickoff). The sky will be sunny with temperatures in the low 70s.
Auburn travels to Nashville to take on Vanderbilt (3:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear with upper 60s at kickoff, dropping into the low 60s by the final whistle.
And, Alabama will host LSU Saturday evening at Bryant-Denny Stadium (6:45p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear with temperatures falling through the 60s. A perfect night for football in Tuscaloosa.
TROPICS: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central Caribbean Sea are associated with a trough of low pressure (Invest 97L). Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for development in a day or two, and a tropical depression could form when the system moves over the southwestern Caribbean Sea during the latter part of this week. Regardless of development, this system has the potential to produce heavy rains over portions of Central America late this week and into the weekend. NHC has dropped the chance of development to 40 percent.
The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.
ON THIS DATE IN 1925: A late season hurricane began to affect the west coast of Florida as it strengthened during the day. The storm made landfall very early on December 1st south of Tampa Bay, weakened to a tropical storm as it crossed central Florida, and exited around St. Augustine. The storm regained Hurricane strength of Jacksonville late on the 1st. Heavy rain continued over northeast Florida on the 2nd. Gale force winds were reported from the Keys to Jacksonville and over 50 people lost their lives, mostly on ships at sea. Damage along the coast south of Jacksonville was heavy and excessive rain and wind seriously damaged citrus and truck crops.
Look for the next video briefing here by 6:00 a.m. tomorrow…
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