December 5, 2022

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Early Afternoon Update on Tropical Storm Nicole; Rain Getting Closer to Central Alabama

3 min read

As of 12:30 pm, the main bulk of rain associated with Tropical Storm Nicole continues to stay off to our east and southeast, but I wouldn’t be surprised if a few light raindrops or drizzle is falling south of I-20 and east of I-65. Rain chances will continue to increase as we go through the afternoon hours and into the evening as Nicole continues to make her northward turn and eventually stars trekking to the north-northeast.

A WIND ADVISORY continues until midnight tonight for the following counties in Central Alabama: Barbour, Bullock, Chambers, Clay, Cleburne, Lee, Macon, Pike, Randolph, Russell, and Tallapoosa. Those locations will likely encounter northeast winds sustained at 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph possible. Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects as gusty winds could blow around those unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

Here is the latest data on Nicole…

As of the 12 pm CST intermediate update, the center of Nicole was located around 45 miles to the north of Tampa, Florida, and was moving to the northwest at 15 mph. Maximum sustained winds were down to 45 mph with higher gusts. A turn toward the north-northwest is expected later this afternoon, followed by a turn toward the north tonight. Nicole is expected to accelerate north-northeastward on Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Nicole will move over the far northeastern Gulf of Mexico in the next several hours and then move inland over the eastern Florida Panhandle tonight. Nicole should move northward into Georgia later tonight, and then move through the southeastern United States on Friday. Nicole is over the Gulf of Mexico this afternoon and evening. Nicole is expected to weaken to a depression over Georgia tonight, and then it is expected to merge with a frontal boundary over the Mid-Atlantic United States by Friday night.

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Sebastian Inlet, Florida, to South Santee River, South Carolina
* The middle of Longboat Key to Indian Pass, Florida

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Sebastian Inlet, Florida, to Altamaha Sound, Georgia
* Mouth of the St. Johns River to Georgetown, Florida
* Anclote River, Florida, to Ochlockonee River, Florida

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* Ochlockonee River to Indian Pass, Florida
* Altamaha Sound, Georgia, to South Santee River, South Carolina

Flash and urban flooding will be possible, along with renewed river rises on the St. Johns River, across the Florida Peninsula today. Heavy rainfall from this system will spread northward across portions of the Southeast, upper Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, and New England Thursday through Saturday, where limited flooding impacts will be possible.

A few tornadoes are possible this afternoon over parts of coastal east-central and northeastern Florida. The tornado threat will spread northward across parts of southeastern Georgia and the Carolinas this afternoon through Friday morning.

Large swells generated by Nicole will affect the northwestern Bahamas, the east coast of Florida, and much of the southeastern United States coast during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

Scott Martin

2022-11-10 18:49:30

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