DRY THROUGH SUNDAY: A quiet weather pattern will persist across Alabama through the weekend. Expect a good supply of sunshine today and tomorrow, followed by a partly sunny sky Saturday and Sunday. Highs will be in the 70s, with lows in the 50s early tomorrow, and low 60s over the weekend. A few isolated showers could show up near the Gulf Coast Saturday, but most of the state will remain dry.
NEXT WEEK: Dry, mild weather continues Monday and Tuesday; a few isolated showers could show up over the latter half of the week, but for now we are not expecting anything widespread. A decent rain event could unfold over the following weekend (November 14-15) as Eta moves in from the Gulf, but there remains considerable uncertainly in that scenario. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.
TROPICS: Eta is a tropical depression that is inland over Honduras this morning. It is expected to move back into the Caribbean tomorrow, becoming better organized and strengthening again. The latest NHC forecast moves the system over Cuba Sunday, and to a point near Key West early next week.
There is low confidence in the forecast, especially at 3-5 days; until the system gets back over the water and becomes better organized, models will have a hard time initializing the system. But there is certainly a decent chance Eta will be in the Gulf of Mexico by the middle of next week.
The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet; the hurricane season will end at the end of this month.
RAIN UPDATE: Here are rain totals for the year so far, and the departure from average…
Birmingham 67.02″ (+22.06″)
Muscle Shoals 65.83″ (+22.44″)
Huntsville 63.95″ (+19.73″)
Tuscaloosa 60.02″ (+16.62″)
Montgomery 59.58″ (+15.48″)
Anniston 54.72″ (+13.23)
Mobile 51.89″ (-4.73″)
ON THIS DATE IN 1894: A significant snowstorm impacted New England on November 5 through the 6. It formed off the New Jersey coast on the 5 and passed east of Connecticut with rapidly increasing heavy rain and snow, along with high winds. The heavy snow and high winds caused significant damage to trees and brought down telegraph poles by the hundreds. The telegraph and telephone service in all southern New England was crippled, and fallen poles and trees delayed railroad trains.
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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!