DRY: The sky is mostly sunny across Alabama this afternoon with temperatures in the upper 70s and low 80s… Mobile and Dothan have reached the mid 80s. Tonight will be mostly fair with a low generally in the 50s.
The forecast is for mostly sunny mild days and clear pleasant nights through Sunday. Daytime temperatures will be above average, with highs in the 76-83 degree range. Lows will be mostly in the 50s and low 60s. On the positive side the weather looks great for high school and college football games across the Deep South this weekend.
NEXT WEEK: Models suggest a cold front will bring a chance of showers on Tuesday (Halloween), but it doesn’t look like a big rain event at this point. Much cooler air follows for the latter half of next week, potentially the coolest air so far this season. Seeing some evidence in global models that the surface front could stall out near the Gulf Coast, which would keep some risk of light rain in the forecast Wednesday and Thursday. See the video briefing for maps, graphics, and more details.
TROPICS: Hurricane Tammy, with winds of 80 mph, is about 260 miles north of Anguilla this afternoon, and continues to move away from the northern Leeward Islands. The evolution of the upper air pattern around the system is uncertain over the next 5-7 days, and this will bring much uncertainty to the track and intensity forecast.
For now NHC has the system as a post-tropical cyclone near Bermuda Saturday morning, but this could easily change.
Also, satellite data indicate that the area of low pressure located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea (Invests 95L) has developed a well-defined center. In addition, the associated showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization. If the current trends continue, advisories could be initiated later this afternoon or evening on a short-lived tropical depression. The low is expected to move inland over Nicaragua by early tomorrow and will likely produce heavy rains over portions of Central America during the next couple of days.
No tropical systems are expected near the Gulf of Mexico this week.
ON THIS DATE IN 1878: One of the most severe hurricanes to affect eastern Virginia in the latter half of the 19th century struck on October 23, 1878. This storm moved rapidly northward from the Bahamas on October 22nd and hit the North Carolina coast late that same day moving at a forward speed of 40 to 50 mph. The storm continued northward passing through east central Virginia, Maryland and eastern Pennsylvania. The barometric pressure fell to 28.78″. The five minute sustained wind reached 84 mph at Cape Henry. During the heaviest part of the gale, the wind at Kitty Hawk, North Carolina registered 100 mph. The instrument itself has finally blown away and therefore no further record was made.
ON THIS DATE IN 1947: Fish fell from the sky in Marksville, LA. Thousands of fish fell from the sky in an area 1,000 feet long by 80 feet wide possibly due to a waterspout.
Look for the next video briefing here by 6:00 a.m. tomorrow…
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