COOL AUTUMN WEATHER: Temperatures are in the 40s and 50s across Alabama early this morning… not as cold as forecast due to clouds that persisted through the night. Birmingham is at 53 degrees just before daybreak with a cloudy sky, while Mobile is 7 degrees cooler at 46 thanks to a clear sky and near calm wind. The sky becomes sunny today with a high in the 60s over North Alabama, with 70s for the southern half of the state.
Tomorrow will be another sunny day with a high in the 70s.
THURSDAY/FRIDAY: Clouds will gradually increase Thursday ahead of a cold front, and we will mention a chance of showers statewide Thursday night and Friday. Moisture will be limited, and rain amounts will likely be under 1/2 inch. The main window for rain will come from around midnight Thursday night through 12 Noon Friday… a good chance the rain will be over by the time the high school football games begin Friday evening. Highs will be mostly in the 70-75 degree range both days.
THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: A new surge of dry air rolls into the state just in time for the weekend. We expect sunny mild afternoons and clear cool nights; highs will be in the 70s with lows in the 40s and 50s. Delightful fall weather.
NEXT WEEK: An upper ridge builds over the region, and for now the week looks dry with highs in the 70s, and lows mostly in the 50s. See the video briefing for maps, graphics, and more details.
TROPICS: A broad area of low pressure (Invest 94L) located over the central tropical Atlantic, about midway between the Windward Islands and the Cabo Verde Islands, is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression will likely form during the next few days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the central and western tropical Atlantic.Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of this system.
Global models show it turning northward, then out to sea well before getting close to the U.S. NHC gives it an 80 percent chance of development over the next seven days.
FOOTBALL WEATHER: Showers during the day Friday should be over by the time high football games begin Friday night… we expect gradual clearing with temperatures falling from near 65 at kickoff, into the upper 50s by the final whistle.
Saturday, UAB will host Memphis at Protective Stadium in downtown Birmingham (11a CT kickoff)… the sky will be sunny with temperatures rising from near 68 at kickoff, to around 72 degrees by the fourth quarter.
Alabama hosts Tennessee at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa (2:30p CT kickoff). It will be a fine fall afternoon with temperatures in the low to mid 70s.
And, Auburn will host Ole Miss Saturday evening (6:00p CT kickoff) at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Expect a clear sky with temperatures falling from near 70 at kickoff, into the low 60s by the final whistle.
COMING SOON: Don’t forget Alabama’s tornado season begins in less than one month. It runs from November through May, so now is a good time to be sure you have a NOAA Weather Radio, properly programmed and with a fresh battery, ready for service. Review your severe weather plan, and have helmets for everyone in your safe place.
ON THIS DATE IN 1910: A category 4 hurricane moved north-northeast, passing just east of the Dry Tortugas. The maximum storm surge observed in Key West was 8 feet, with 15-foot waves at what is now Fort Zachary Taylor State Park.
ON THIS DATE IN 1998: During the weekend of October 17-18, 1998, torrential rains fell over southern and southeast Texas. Up to 22 inches of rain fell, which first resulted in deadly flash flooding from San Antonio to Austin followed by record-breaking river floods along several South Texas rivers the following week. Based on provisional data from the USGS, the flood peak for this event was the highest known peak stage at 15 locations. Tragically, a total of 31 people died during the event (26 drownings, two tornado deaths, two heart attacks, and one electrocution/drowning).
Look for the next video briefing here by 3:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!
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