January 23, 2021

Weather News – Road Conditions – weather forecast

AOML Scientists wrap up map discussions for the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season – Hurricane Research Division

2 min read

AOML scientists and collaborators met every weekday between mid-July through mid-October of the Atlantic hurricane season to discuss the tropical forecast and potential opportunities to conduct research.  The final week of discussions was led by Kelly Ryan of the Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Sciences at the University of Miami.

Number of storms per 100 year in the Atlantic Basin (the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico). The Atlantic season is from 1 June to 30 November.

The primary topic of discussion in this week’s meetings is the long range forecast.  National Hurricane Center forecasters and Ryan noted that a tropical wave and two low pressure systems have a small potential to develop during the week of October 18-24.

5 day outlook issued by NHC at 8PM EDT on October 15, 2020.

Map discussions will conclude on Friday, October 16, scientists will meet on an “as needed” basis when a potential hurricane is within range of any aircraft.  AOML will continue to support hurricane reconnaissance flights as they occur.  

Screenshot of the ground scientists coordinating during Hurricane Lane.

As the Atlantic hurricane season winds down, scientists will turn their attention to analyzing the data collected during the 2020 season and begin identifying gaps in knowledge to modify or plan experiments for the 2021 season.

>> Scientist L. Bucci
>> Edits by R. Kravetz

For details about reconnaissance aircraft missions, please see NOAA’s official Plan of the Day.

For the latest information about tropical cyclones and other weather systems, please visit the NOAA/NWS/National Hurricane Center.

For information on numerical prediction of tropical cyclones, please visit NOAA/NCEP/Environmental Modeling Center.

To access updates on the Intensity Forecasting EXperiment (IFEX) and other activities via Facebook, Twitter, or RSS feed, check out the NOAA/AOML/HRD page.

To directly access updates on IFEX HFP Operations via our WordPress blog on the web, check the site: https://noaahrd.wordpress.com/category/ifex-hurricane-field-program/

DISCLAIMER: The above discussion is intended to provide a brief summary of recent and future HRD Hurricane Field Program Operations. Any use of this material beyond its original intent is prohibited without permission of the HRD Director, Frank Marks (Frank.Marks@noaa.gov). Media inquiries should be directed to AOML Communications (aoml.communications@noaa.gov), Monica Allen (301-734-1123) or Monica.Allen@noaa.gov.

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