RADAR CHECK: We have a few scattered, strong thunderstorms over Northwest Alabama this afternoon… heavier storms are producing small hail as they move northeast. Hail and gusty winds will be possible with the stronger storms this evening, mainly in areas west and north of Birmingham; the storms will fade quickly after sunset. For the rest of Alabama, we have a partly sunny sky with temperatures in the low to mid 80s.
Tomorrow will be warm and mostly dry… any showers should be few and far between. With a partly sunny sky, the high will be in the mid 80s. Then, on Wednesday, we expect an increase in the number of scattered showers and storms over the northern half of Alabama as a weak front drifts down toward the Tennessee Valley. Chance of any one spot getting wet tomorrow is 10-15 percent, and 30-40 percent Wednesday.
THURSDAY/FRIDAY: Models are trending slower with the next system that arrives late in the week. It now looks like Thursday will be mostly dry, and the main threat of strong to severe storms will come during the day Friday; SPC has the western third of the state in a risk in their “Day 4” outlook that runs through 7:00 a.m. Friday. Confidence in the forecast is not especially high; we will a much better look at the situation once we get within 60 hours of the event and within range of the high resolution models. But for now Friday looks like a potentially active thunderstorm day with a threat of hail, strong winds, and perhaps a few isolated tornadoes. The high Thursday will be in the mid 80s, and closer to 80 degrees Friday.
MOTHERS DAY WEEKEND: For now the weekend looks dry and pleasant. Expect a partly to mostly sunny sky Saturday and Sunday… the high Saturday will be in the upper 70s, followed by low 80s Sunday.
NEXT WEEK: Much of next week looks warm and quiet with just a few isolated showers around from time to time…. highs will be in the 80s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.
ON THIS DATE IN 1929: Virginia’s worst tornado disaster occurred on this day. Six tornadoes, two of which were west of the Blue Ridge Mountains, killed 22 people. One tornado killed twelve children and a teacher at Rye Cove, in Scott County. The storms destroyed four schools.
ON THIS DATE IN 2010: The Nashville/Middle Tennessee historic flood event continued. Some areas received nearly 20 inches of rain May 1-2, the highest of which was 19.41 inches reported by a CoCoRaHS observer in Camden, TN. Numerous rainfall records were broken at the Nashville International Airport, including the most rain received in a 6 hour period, highest calendar day rainfall, and wettest month, along with several others. Incredibly, the Nashville Airport experienced its wettest and third wettest days in history on back to back days. Many area rivers exceeded their record crest levels, including the Harpeth River near Kingston Springs, which rose to 13.8 feet above the previous record. The Cumberland River at Nashville reached its highest level since flood control was implemented in the late 1960s, flooding parts of downtown Nashville. Waters from the Cumberland reached as far inland as 2nd Avenue, flooding many downtown businesses.
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