May 24, 2024

Weather News Road Conditions

Weather News & Forecast

“2022 Tropical Season and Summertime Outlook” by Arcfield Weather — Arcfield Weather

1 min read

Signals from the analog years and the summertime outlook

Based largely upon the expectation of a continuation of La Nina this summer and fall, there are seven analog years that I have selected which featured similar sea surface temperature anomalies and trends.  When averaged together, these seven analog years featured slightly above-normal tropical activity in the Atlantic Basin.  The seven analog years listed here include the number of named storms, number of minimal hurricanes, and the number of “major” hurricanes in each given year: 1975 (9/6/3), 1970 (14/7/2), 2011 (19/7/4), 2010 (19/12/5), 2013 (14/2/0), 2020 (30/14/7) and 2021 (21/7/4). 

In the Mid-Atlantic region, these seven analog years generally featured warmer-than-normal temperatures in the June through August time frame. Specifically, in terms of temperature anomalies, I expect the summer season to average somewhere in the +1.0 to 2.0 range in the Mid-Atlantic region. Elsewhere, there is reason to believe that the Northern and Central Plains could experience much warmer-than-normal conditions this summer based upon comparisons with these selected analog years and much drier-than-normal as well.  Much of the eastern third of the nation may be in store for wetter-than-normal weather this summer which will follow a wetter-than-normal spring in most areas. 

Meteorologist Paul Dorian

Follow us on Facebook, Twitter, YouTube

Paul Dorian

2022-04-25 11:15:00

All news and articles are copyrighted to the respective authors and/or News Broadcasters. eWeatherNews is an independent Online News Aggregator

Read more from original source here…

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *