An influx of tropical moisture
Over the past weekend, an unnamed tropical system moved from the western Gulf of Mexico into southern Texas with plenty of moisture and it resulted in heavy rainfall amounts of as much as 4-8 inches all the way from the southern part of the Lone Star State to northern Mexico. As this system moves to the west in the near-term, it’s impact will be boosted by the higher elevations of northern Mexico and this can result in as much as 10-20 inches of rain in some spots.
With the continuation of the monsoonal seasonal wind, much of this tropical moisture from Texas and northern Mexico will make its way into the southwestern states during the next few days with additional downpours expected later this week and even into the upcoming weekend. Given the already well-saturated grounds in the Desert Southwest, any additional heavy rainfall in coming days can result in flash flooding and mudslides; especially, in the higher elevations of Arizona, New Mexico, Nevada, Utah and Colorado. Finally, a new tropical system has emerged in the western Caribbean Sea and it could very well end up over the western Gulf of Mexico in several days…something else to monitor for a potential impact in the Desert Southwest.
Meteorologist Paul Dorian
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