10:30 AM | **Hurricane Hilary likely to reach “major” status in the near-term…remnants to have significant impacts on SoCal and other parts of SW US later this weekend into early next week** — Arcfield Weather

Historical Comparisons

There have been three storms in the past century that have made it to California as a “tropical storm” and Hurricane Hilary has a chance to become the 4th. The other storms occurred in 1939, 1976 and 1997. Perhaps the one storm of those three that may be the closest analogy to Hurricane Hilary in terms of its potential track is Hurricane Kathleen which impacted California in September 1976. The possible track of Hilary to a position first over the northern part of the Baja California peninsula and then over the southern part of California closely resembles the track that Hurricane Kathleen actually followed in September 1976. One final note on Hurricane Kathleen, it took place just a few months prior to one of the coldest winters ever for the eastern US…the winter of 1976-1977. In fact, the month of January in 1977 turned out to be one of the coldest months ever recorded in the continental US.

Meteorologist Paul Dorian
Arcfield
arcfieldweather.com

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