On Saturday, we have two dome games taking place in Texas. On Sunday, we have two games out in the elements. Since it’s early January, the weather in Baltimore and Chicago isn’t exactly pretty.
Both Sunday affairs have windy weather in the forecast. Though some would suggest literally altering the wind, these four teams will have to deal with what Mother Nature hands them.
Let’s begin in Baltimore.
Northwest winds blowing down from Canada and the Great Lakes will be impacting much of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, with Baltimore being right on the lower edge. The winds shouldn’t be too much of a factor south of Washington D.C.
In what will be an otherwise nice day with temps in the upper 40s, winds averaging 13-14 mph will be blowing across the field at M&T Bank Stadium throughout the game. Gusts will be in the low 20s.
Historically, unders have hit at a 55.6% rate in games with double-digit wind speeds in the regular season and 61.8% in the postseason, per Bet Labs.
This likely favors Baltimore, as Lamar Jackson is seen scurrying around more often than throwing deep bombs. Justin Tucker, one of the best kickers of all time, probably won’t be phased, either.
Philip Rivers relies more heavily on the passing game, obviously, but has gone 17-16 against the spread (ATS) in 33 career games with average winds of 10+ mph. The Chargers do have a new young kicker in Mike Badgley, but he’s actually fared quite well so far, making 15 of 16 field goals and 27 of 28 extra points.
This over/under, which opened at 41.5/42, sits at 41.5 across the market.
In the later game, the Eagles head to Chicago to play in some semi-Bear weather.
Overcast skies and temperatures in the upper 30s aren’t much to complain about, but the Windy City will be living up to its name.
Average winds will begin in the 12 mph range, but reach upwards of 15 in the second half. Gusts will be in the low 20s to start, but near 30 mph late in the game.
Once again, this probably favors the home team, as Mitch Trubisky isn’t exactly known for the home run ball. He’s 2-0 ATS in games with double-digit winds compared to 2-4 for Nick Foles.
Given Chicago’s defensive prowess, this game sports the most popular under of the week with 52% of bets. There’s been similar line movement as Chargers-Ravens, with the total moving from 41.5/42 to 41.
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